Deskewing the Polls

People, though, should stick to reality. Right now, Clinton is leading in almost every single national poll. She leads in both our polls-plus and polls-only forecasts. That doesn’t mean she will win. The polls have been off before, but no one knows by how much beforehand, or in which direction they’ll miss. For all their imperfection, the polls are a far better indicator than the conspiracy theories made up to convince people that Trump is ahead.

via The Polls Aren’t Skewed: Trump Really Is Losing Badly

I hope these polls are right, Hillary becomes our first female president, and we can out this national nightmare behind us.

If you’re Team Trump, though, what does lying to yourself get you? Maybe a little extra narcissism?

TV guide

via Recode:

Last year, Apple shelved its plan to sell you TV. Now Apple has a new plan: Tell you what’s on TV and help you watch it.

Apple has started talking to TV programmers and other video companies about creating a digital TV guide that would work on both Apple TV boxes and other Apple devices, like iPhones.

The idea is to let users see what kind of programming is available in video apps made by the likes of HBO, Netflix and ESPN, without having to open up each app individually, and to play shows and movies with a single click.

A global queue is a version-one feature. The second Apple decided that apps were the new channel, it should have been obvious that splitting content among an infinite number of experiences wasn’t going to scale.

I realized it and you’ll have to trust me that no one is looking my way for their futurist needs. Truth is, it wasn’t a difficult thing to foresee. Spend any amount of time digging around for something to watch and it’s apparent immediately.

I hope this isn’t MVP run amok.

À La Carte TV Packages

Dish hasn’t given up on Sling TV, their take on internet-delivered cable:

Sling TV on Thursday announced a slew of changes to its streaming service, including several new channels and the creation of "Orange" and "Blue" tiers, the latter bringing multi-stream support out of beta.

An "Orange + Blue" package is available for $40, but many channels — like HBO, Epix, and Cinemax — are still in separate add-on packages costing between $5 and $15 per month. Sling’s Latino content has been expanded with a "Caribe" package featuring Cuban and Puerto Rican material, plus a $10 standalone service.

via Sling TV splits into ‘Orange’ and ‘Blue’ tiers, adds NBC, BBC America & other channels

À la carte channels were always a bad idea, and Sling is admitting as much here. The economics of modern television simply don’t work outside of the bundle model.

I do wonder how long before Sling’s prices creep up to match standard cable.

Calvin and Hobbes in 3D

Calvin isn’t quite right, but this is incredible all the same.

Turning classic 2D cartoons into 3D renderings can be a tricky act to balance. There’s always something a little unsettling and kind of off about the finished model, like say, The Peanuts Movie, or Garfield: The Movie. Maybe it’s the way that it looks way too polished, or how it messes with the nostalgic memories of our beloved characters, but we just know it’s not right when we see it.

Artist Gabriel de Laubier effortlessly jumped past this hurdle, transforming Bill Watterson’s iconic Calvin and Hobbes "Big Bang" strip into an interactive 3D scene:

via Calvin and Hobbes in 3D is even more magical

Advanced NASA Tech Used for an (Admittedly Cool) Bentley Ad

CSI just became 100x more believable.

Bentley Motors Look Closer

Photos app Searchable Keywords

via Behind Apple’s Advanced Computer Vision for Photos app:

…Bedroom, Bedchamber, Bedchambers, Bedrooms, Boudoir, Boudoirs, Chamber, Chambers, Sleeping Room, Sleeping Rooms…

Incredible list of searchable keywords in the new Photos app, although I’m not sure I’d ever search for boudoir…or need 10 ways to search for my bedroom.

One Faster Horse, Please

Seth Godin:

You can’t ask customers want they want

… not if your goal is to find a breakthrough. Because your customers have trouble imagining a breakthrough.

You ought to know what their problems are, what they believe, what stories they tell themselves. But it rarely pays to ask your customers to do your design work for you.

This applies to more than just breakthroughs. If you want to create compelling experiences, you have to start from knowing the problem you’re going to solve.

Apple Listens and Responds with watchOS 3

From Ars Technica:

Apple added a number of UI updates to the OS to make it more "familiar" and easier to use. There’s a new dock where you can get information from your favorite apps without fully opening them, and a Control Center can be accessed by swiping up from the bottom of the Watch’s display. When it comes to texts, you can now see "smart replies" on the display as well, so you can choose a quick reply to send to someone.

via Apple reveals new version of watchOS at WWDC

Say what you want about Apple thinking they always know best—this OS release took a couple of tent pole features and replaced them with something much more useful. I’m actually excited by my Apple Watch again.

How to use VSCO?

Here are some step-by-step instructions on how to use VSCO:

To navigate to your Studio, pull the “joystick” to the left.

via VSCO: How to use VSCO

Listen: I have produced more interfaces that needed detailed instructions than I can count. It happens.

But, the warning bells at VSCO should have gone off twice in these two sentences:

  1. VSCO is a powerful-but-simple app. Offering step-by-step instructions to basically adding filters to video should have been a total dead giveaway that something wasn’t right with the interface.
  2. When they developed this feature, I’m sure they discussed the little dingus used to move between screens as a "joystick".
    That should have stayed there.
    Calling it a "joystick" (quotes and all) kind of reinforces that they had no idea what to call this thing.

I’m off to scrub all my documentation so the makers of VSCO can’t find my faults and broadcast them publicly.

OLED “Touch Bar” on the MacBook Pro

Martin Hajek has drawn up some (quite impressive) 3D renders of the rumored MacBook with an OLED Touch panel where the function keys currently reside.

Our myriad of touch devices have proven there’s a high value to an interface that can adjust to meet new contexts. That was a key selling point in the original, all-screen, keyboard-less design of the iPhone.

A static keyboard isn’t without value. It allows the operator to build muscle memory. Familiarity breeds efficiency.

If this rumor is true (that’s a big if), I’ll be curious to see how Apple addresses those keys that many of us use daily—Spaces and Volume. Will they just cease to exist in some apps? Will apps be allowed to control the entire bar, or just a portion?

In the meantime, pretty pictures are nice.

MacBook meets OLED

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